Myanmar

Investment & Operational Criteria

Key Indicators

Risk Premia

3.750

%

Outlook

Uncertain

Rating

DD|5U|§

Ranking

113

Reserves (1P)

Total

mm boe

Oil

3

%

Summary

While initially benefitting from the country's liberalisation and the release of political prisoners, recent geopolitical tensions have made investment in Myanmar untenable, at least in the near term.

Updated

February 16, 2024

Country Basics

Region

Asia - South East

Reserves (1P)

Oil

mm bbl

Gas

bcf

Location

MyanmarMyanmar

South eastern Asia, bordering the Andaman Sea and the Bay of Bengal, between Bangladesh and Thailand.

Outline

Tax Regime
Type

PSC/PSA

Tax Regime
Notes

Companies are required to sign production sharing contracts (PSCs) with Myanmar Oil and Gas Enterprise (MOGE), which is a 100% state-owned enterprise under the Ministry of Electricity and Energy (MOEE), in order to undertake petroleum exploration and production activities in Myanmar. As the investment in the oil and gas business is capital-intensive, several foreign oil and gas companies sometimes jointly invest in the PSC, and the majority stakeholder acts as the “operator.”

Investment & 
Operational
Climate

On February 1, 2021, Burma’s military seized power in a coup d’état that reversed the economic progress of recent years. The military’s brutal crackdown on peaceful protests destabilized the country, prompted widespread opposition, and created a sharp deterioration in the investment climate. Burma’s economy shrank by 18% in 2021, according to the World Bank, which forecasts three% growth in 2023. The regime’s ongoing violence, repression, and economic mismanagement have significantly reduced Burma’s commercial activity, compounded by the pro-democracy Civil Disobedience Movement that emerged in response to the coup. Immediately after the coup, the military detained the civilian leadership of economic ministries as well as the Central Bank of Myanmar (CBM) and replaced them with appointees who are beholden to the regime. The CBM has imposed severe foreign exchange restrictions that limit commercial activity, and the regime severely limits access to U.S. dollars. Onerous import licensing and foreign currency conversion rules, as well as frequent power outages and reliance on generators have dramatically raised costs for business and limited both companies’ ability to move inputs into and produce products in Burma, as well as pay employee salaries and repatriate any profits from sales and asset liquidations. Suspensions of internet and other telecommunications have restricted access to information and seriously hindered business operations, particularly those of U.S. companies reliant on telecom and Internet Service Providers that are increasingly under the direct control or ownership of the regime’s Ministry of Transport and Communications (MoTC). The Bureau of Industry and Security’s addition of the MoTC to its Entity List on March 6, 2023, limits most network equipment exports to MoTC without an export license.

Source: ESRI, Heritage Index, HMG Foreign & Commonwealth Office, US Department of State, International Trade Administration, International Law Review, Ernst & Young, Wood Makenzie & OGA data.

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Related Basins

Asia - South East

Countries

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