Pakistan

Investment & Operational Criteria

Key Indicators

Risk Premia

3.750

%

Outlook

Uncertain

Rating

DDD|4U|§

Ranking

98

Reserves (1P)

Total

mm boe

Oil

13

%

Summary

While historically a popular destination for independents, the political uncertainty has created significant headwinds for attracting foreign investment.

Updated

January 3, 2024

Country Basics

Region

Asia - South West

Reserves (1P)

Oil

mm bbl

Gas

bcf

Location

PakistanPakistan

Southern Asia, bordering the Arabian Sea, between India on the east and Iran and Afghanistan on the west and China in the north

Outline

Tax Regime
Type

Multiple (PSC/Concession)

Tax Regime
Notes

Pakistan is divided into three onshore regions (Zone I-III) and offshore (Zone O), for licensing and fiscal purposes. The fiscal system for onshore licences is based on the concession model, while offshore licences are governed by production sharing contract ("PSC") terms. All terms were refreshed in the 2012 Petroleum Policy. A major component of the fiscal system is the windfall levy which applies to both oil and gas production when prices exceed certain levels. For oil, the marginal rate is 100% (above US$100/bbl).

Investment & 
Operational
Climate

Pakistan has made significant progress over the last year in transitioning to a market-determined exchange rate and reversing its large current account deficit, while inflation has decreased each month of 2020. However, progress has been slow in areas such as broadening the tax base, reforming the taxation system, and privatizing state owned enterprises. Pakistan ranked 108 out of 190 countries in the World Bank’s Doing Business 2020 rankings, a positive move upwards of 28 places from 2019. Yet, the ranking demonstrates much room for improvement remains in Pakistan’s efforts to improve its business climate. The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on Pakistan’s economy. While the IMF had predicted Pakistan’s GDP growth to be 2.4% in FY2020, Pakistan’s economy is now expected to contract by 1.5% this fiscal year, which ends June 30. Despite a relatively open foreign investment regime, Pakistan remains a challenging environment for foreign investors. An improving but unpredictable security situation, difficult business climate, lengthy dispute resolution processes, poor intellectual property rights (IPR) enforcement, inconsistent taxation policies, and lack of harmonization of rules across Pakistan’s provinces have contributed to lower Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) as compared to regional competitors. The government is working on a multi-year foreign direct investment (FDI) strategy which aims to gradually increase FDI to USD 7.4bn by Fiscal Year (FY) 2022-23 from USD 2.8bn in FY2019-20.

Source: ESRI, Heritage Index, HMG Foreign & Commonwealth Office, US Department of State, International Trade Administration, International Law Review, Ernst & Young, Wood Makenzie & OGA data.

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